Okay, I guess you're right that its ability to do this is just correlational, which doesn't imply it has any understanding. However, you have to conclude that some tasks which we used to believe required intelligence don't actually require any, which is disconcerting.
No, what I would say is the tasks which are handled in a passable manner by LLMs can be mathematically modeled with some reasonable accuracy.
Many things are predicted by models in our planet. From weather to production and material science. Building the model needs intelligence, running the model does not.
The person who came up with the formulae for CFD was intelligent. The computer running the model is not. Same for LLMs, chess engines, engine ECUs and financial prediction systems.
Again, for the example’s sake; the person who came up with an algorithm is intelligent. The model mixing its training data to emit something similar is not.
This starts to feel like you're defining the word intelligence out of any meaning and out of any way we apply that word.
So when LLMs can do all human knowledge work, and do it better than humans, we'll be in the mines listening to you go on about how it's actually just autocomplete or just math, a distinction that apparently means nothing.
> This starts to feel like you're defining the word intelligence out of any meaning and out of any way we apply that word.
No.
> So when LLMs can do all human knowledge work, and do it better than humans, we'll be in the mines listening to you go on about how it's actually just autocomplete or just math, a distinction that apparently means nothing.
With a big "if" attached to it. People were saying "computers will program themselves in the near future" for, checks notes, 24 years now, as far as I'm aware.
We're constantly building new knowledge and understanding things better than olden days. These models just compress our knowledge and light the blind corners we can't see well. I don't say they are useless, but I say that these things are overhyped.
All they can do is regurgitate human knowledge packed into them and highlight some long-distance correlations between items, which is useful in itself, but it can't jump to somewhere where it's not present its training data, but that's something humans and only humans can do.
> it can't jump to somewhere where it's not present its training data
That sounds like something that can be engineered, can't it? In other words, we can identify limitations in current transformer-based architectures, and we can also build new architectures over time.
Locked in a dark room with no sensory organs, humans couldn't do that.
Most of what you said reads to me as denial.
An unconscious unintelligent but persistent trial and error process created us. We created LLMs. LLMs may create the next thing before we do - hard to say. They don't have all the cognitive tools we have yet, but they still outperform in some areas. As the cognitive playing field levels, I expect you will come to eat your words..
I get what you're saying. The thing itself is just math. I'll just say it depends on how you define intelligence. If at some point we're be able to simulate a human brain with 100% accuracy, I would say that it is intelligent, it sounds like you would not. (I don't mean to imply consciousness or personhood or anything else by "intelligent".)
For me intelligence is a fairly clean-cut concept, and is somewhat inseparable from consciousness itself.
Briefly, any intelligent creature has internal stochastic processes like sensory inputs and feelings to a certain degree. These stochastic inputs and the creature's own actions change the creature in subtle or profound ways. An LLM has no such processes. You push inputs to the same static model, sans temperature which is just a randomness slider.
Considering the model even doesn't see the words and work on matrices of numbers is even more telling. One needs to add "tools" and other "experts" to overcome the shortcomings caused by this modus operandi.
I can call the algorithm/model smart as in a smartwatch. It can mimic certain things well while having none of the underlying foundation beneath it, or redirect some of the things to correct tools to get deterministic and accurate results if it can't evaluate the query inside its own network in a sane manner.
Coming to your question, "simulating a brain" in a static manner would not make that simulation intelligent, but if you can "wire" it completely and let it evolve by itself, now we're entering a territory I have not spent enough time for thinking it through.
Oh, as I said "I don't know", an LLM doesn't know what it doesn't know, and can't self correct itself which are required capabilities for understanding something. It just generates something statistically viable via its network.
Your text reads much better if you replace word 'intelligence' with 'text generator with some randomness built in'.
This is because you goal is to state how models are not intelligent, but you couldn't attack the generated text itself, so you created a little rider, attached it to the model, and then you attacked the raider.
But, even in that you failed. You compared the source of human randomness in text generation, and called it 'profound' and implied that it is exactly the source of true intelligence. But, then, the temperature, the similar thing in model was "just a randomness slider". Double standard.
A logical fallacy free attack on LLMs would be to show a prompt, and then the response generated by this prompt, where it would be shown that only an entity with no intelligence would generate such a response. Yet, attacks like this are not written here anymore.
You point out that I didn't attack the output itself. But the method you propose is deeply flawed.
I can give you n prompts and m results provided by these prompts, all passed through black boxes. And you can't discern the algorithms or models they have gone through. These boxes can range from simple text generators to MATLAB, Mathematica, CFD applications, correlation engines, linear solvers, mathematical proof-checkers, LLMs, you name it.
For any kind of input they can accept, you can't discern whether the algorithm behind it is intelligent or not, because none of the outputs can be produced by something that doesn't pack some kind of smarts.
How do we pack these smarts in? We teach them as intelligent humans. We pack our intelligence inside them as models (aka algorithms). They do a great job of approximating what we know in a smaller, better-designed problem space. We use these approximations to fine-tune our designs or predict things, then go from there. Just because an algorithm is more capable in processing inputs in some cases doesn't make it intelligent. The way the output looks doesn't make the algorithm intelligent, either.
I have developed multi-agent systems which showed emergent intelligence when the agents came together across distributed systems; I have written high-performance modeling software which can do calculations way faster and better than humans in the materials science space. I'm not doing some kind of armchair criticism of what I'm talking about.
> You compared the source of human randomness in text generation, and called it 'profound' and implied that it is exactly the source of true intelligence. But, then, the temperature, the similar thing in model was "just a randomness slider". Double standard.
Nope, my stance is clear. To quote myself:
> Briefly, any intelligent creature has internal stochastic processes like sensory inputs and feelings to a certain degree. These stochastic inputs and the creature's own actions change the creature in subtle or profound ways. An LLM has no such processes. You push inputs to the same static model, sans temperature which is just a randomness slider.
To expand my quote, humans or any living creatures do not stay static. They evolve due to the sensory input they receive from external and internal stimuli. The temperature slider doesn't do anything close to that. You tickle a static model in different amounts. The model doesn't change after you supply the inputs & temperature and get the output. Creatures do not stay the same. Their mood, behaviors, and stance against life and their environment change, sometimes permanently.
I'll go one step further. We are not intelligent enough to understand other living beings around us. Claiming that we can build AGI tomorrow is a god-complex. What we have done is something arguably useful in some cases, but how this is built is another matter which is worthy of its own discussion. However, today I don't have time to re-iterate all the problems over and over. You can search my comments for that, if you are in for it.
So, no. You tried to attack my comment by finding contradictions in it, but you failed. A better rebuttal would try to similarize how LLMs mirror the human learning process and just read like a normal human, but this is a well-trodden path which has been rebutted countless times in various forms.