Nope! And it's because Apple provides a better user experience. And Google can't fight back entirely, because they don't control the hardware, and - furthermore - because they need to adapt their software so that it can support whatever hardware wants to use it.
That's not to say that I think Android will be bad - just that the iPhone will be better. And as a result, despite programmers' gripes, it will have more potential and - much more importantly - far more users. People won't switch operating systems just because it's more open than something else, only if it provides something more. It's not like the Apple II, which lost to Microsoft's products because Microsoft appealed to a different market. That different market is already led by Blackberry and Windows Mobile, and Apple's aware of that.
It's possible that Android becomes wide-spread, if all the cell phone operators decide to pick it up. But that's a lower market than the one Apple appeals to. Their market, the "multiphone" for lack of a better word, is one that they created and they are leading. And I'd guess their goal is to make that market the dominant cell phone market. Whether or not it succeeds has nothing to do with Android. It has to do with whether or not the market shifts with Apple.
That's not to say that I think Android will be bad - just that the iPhone will be better. And as a result, despite programmers' gripes, it will have more potential and - much more importantly - far more users. People won't switch operating systems just because it's more open than something else, only if it provides something more. It's not like the Apple II, which lost to Microsoft's products because Microsoft appealed to a different market. That different market is already led by Blackberry and Windows Mobile, and Apple's aware of that.
It's possible that Android becomes wide-spread, if all the cell phone operators decide to pick it up. But that's a lower market than the one Apple appeals to. Their market, the "multiphone" for lack of a better word, is one that they created and they are leading. And I'd guess their goal is to make that market the dominant cell phone market. Whether or not it succeeds has nothing to do with Android. It has to do with whether or not the market shifts with Apple.